Few high school teachers are experts on congressional elections.
Thus, this simulation includes resources to help teachers do
a more effective job preparing themselves to teach about congressional
elections. This section is divided up into three different areas:
What High School Government Teachers Should
Know about Congressional Elections
A summary of some recent scholarship to make you an "expert" or
at least keep you three steps ahead of your students
Four Central Facts About Incumbency and How
to Teach Them
Tried-and-true teaching techniques to effectively convey some
of the central lessons to your students
Further Resources for Teachers and Students
Useful books, articles and web sites to share with students and
help them prepare for simulation activities
What High School Government Teachers Should
Know about Congressional Elections
The first, and most central, fact we should know about congressional
elections is the incumbency advantage (see the following section
for useful tips on how to teach about incumbency).
Simply put, what we mean by this is that incumbent members of
Congress are at a great advantage when running for reelection;
over time, incumbents are reelected close to 95% of the time.
Some years, this figure climbs as high as 98%; in 1998, for example,
395 out of 403 incumbents who sought reelection were successful
(seven lost in the general election and one lost his primary).
Thus, I teach my classes that understanding congressional elections
means first understanding the advantages of incumbency; the most
important thing to know about any congressional contest is whether
an incumbent is running or whether it is a race for an open seat.
The first generation of scholarship on congressional elections
took two views of why incumbents possessed such an advantage.
The first of these views focused on voter behavior. In this research,
incumbents were said to win reelection so frequently because
congressional voters were inordinately swayed by name recognition
when casting their congressional votes. In a landmark article,
John Ferejohn demonstrated that voters were likely to vote against
the candidate from their party if the only name they recognized
was that of the candidate for the other party. Thus, on average,
a Democrat who recognizes only the name of the Republican on
the ballot is more likely to vote Republican than Democrat. Since
incumbents generally have higher name recognition than challengers,
they become more likely to be reelected.
The second view for why incumbents are more likely to be reelected
comes from incumbent behavior. This theory, most associated with
work by David Mayhew and Morris Fiorina, argues that incumbents
take advantage of the perquisites of office to enhance their
electoral position over their challengers. Thus, the franking
(free mailing) privilege incumbents get helps them maintain increased
name recognition. Travel to the district helps incumbents as
well. In addition, by performing casework for their constituents
(such as by finding lost Social Security checks), incumbents
can develop good will, which then translates into votes. Finally,
incumbents can skillfully take positions that are in agreement
with constituency opinion. They also advertise based on these
positions and build a legislative record that the opinion leaders
in the district can support. In short, incumbents are doing the
things that help them get reelected.
Linked to incumbency (and closely following from it) is the
strategic politicians theory most associated with the work of
Gary Jacobson and Sam Kernell. Jacobson and Kernell argue that
the reason incumbents win so often is because they so often face
weak challengers. Because incumbents can do things like advertising,
casework and skillful position-taking, and because voters tend
to vote based on name recognition, where incumbents dominate,
strong challengers tend to avoid running. Why should a state
legislator risk her seat to run a likely losing battle against
an incumbent member of Congress? Thus, the field is left to the
weak challengers, who are usually no match for incumbents. Congressional
elections become self-fulfilling prophecies. Good challengers
stay away because it seems incumbents will win; when they do,
incumbents win.
The strategic politicians theory incorporates money as well.
If there is one thing we know about money in congressional elections,
it is that money matters most to the challengers. Incumbents
already have gotten their name before the voters; things like
casework and franking allow them to do so while in office. But
challengers tend to be less known. Successful challengers must
spend money. But strategic donors avoid giving money to those
they perceive as weak; why donate money to a candidate who is
likely to lose? Money accounts for even more of the incumbency
advantage; most congressional challengers are perceived as so
weak that they can't even get their hands on enough cash to run
a campaign. Strategic donors also help make congressional elections
self-fulfilling prophecies.
Finally, the strategic politicians theory accounts for national
results in addition to local ones. We have already seen how the
quality of a challenger influences individual elections. But
on the national scale, challenger quality is how national factors
get linked to individual districts. For example, in 1994, Republicans
looked primed to gain House seats. President Clinton was unpopular
and the economy was not doing superbly. Thus, throughout the
country, strong Republicans lined up to run against Democratic
incumbents; while most of these incumbents were reelected, a
significant number lost. Few strong Democrats challenged Republicans;
that year, no Republican incumbents lost. Thus, although most
congressional voters do not directly use national criteria in
casting their votes, the strategic politician idea is how these
factors get reflected in elections.
Before closing out this discussion on incumbency and congressional
elections, I must remind the readers that despite all I have
thus far said, members of Congress continue to "run scared." (The
phrase is Gary Jacobson's.) Years ago, Richard Fenno argued that
even though objective indicators may point to the fact that a
member of Congress has little to fear in a reelection bid, all
of them act as if they do. Members are always a little paranoid,
as losing an election is the worst possible thing that could
happen in their careers. Thus, even seemingly safe members are
hyper-cautious about the next election. They visit the district
all the time, closely monitor prevailing opinion back home, act
carefully in their position-taking, and devote their attention
to scaring off strong challengers for next time. It is true that
in any year's election, very few incumbents lose. But, the fear
that defeat may hit them leaves members constantly vigilant about
the next election.
Four Central Facts about Incumbency and
How to Teach Them
1. Incumbents win an overwhelming proportion of the time because
they have significant advantages. These advantages include the
ability to send free mail to their constituents and the ability
to perform little favors for their constituents.
a. For instance, take the franking privilege (their ability
to send free mail to constituents as long as the mail is not
campaign-related). Get a copy of a recent newsletter sent by
the local member of Congress. Share it with your students.
Inform them that most incumbents send something like this to
all addresses in their district 2-4 times a year. Is this a
powerful advantage they have over their challengers?
b. Or, consider the ability to do casework for their constituents.
Make a constituent request of your local member of Congress
and save the letter they send you and the envelope. Share these
materials with students. Point out that incumbents are provided
the staff resources to provide these services to constituents,
and are able to use the postal service for nothing in order
to do this. This is another significant advantage for incumbents.
2. Incumbents win reelection so often because congressional
elections are usually poorly followed by media and by the voters.
Voters in congressional elections often vote by simple cues such
as party and/or name recognition (incumbents have the advantage
because their names are more likely to be known). Issue positions
or policy behavior while in office affect few people's votes.
a. See how many students can name their local House
incumbent. Then, see how many can name either the current
challenger (if it's an election year) or the previous challenger
(if it's not an election year). Compare this with how many
can name the president, governor, senators, and their current
or most recent opponents. There will be a difference.
b. Offer extra credit to any student who can tell you any policy
stands taken by their local incumbent. The great majority of
congressional election voters cannot do this. Just for the
heck of it, ask if any of them can tell you any bills sponsored
by the local representative. Trust me, they can't.
3. Congress as a whole is unpopular, but incumbents can nicely
weather the storm. An unpopular institution does not affect the
reelection ambitions of its members.
a. Ask your students to rate Congress on a scale of 1-10.
Most will cluster around 5-7, although your class will have
answers that vary. You are very unlikely to have students cluster
in the 8-10 range. Then, ask them to predict the percentage
of incumbents seeking reelection who get reelected in a given
year. Tell them on average this number is 93, although in some
years (like 2000) it flirts with 98. How can this unpopular
an institution see so many of its members returned? See point
#1 - incumbents have many resources at their disposal. And
see point #2 - most voters use relatively simple cues in voting.
b. If you can, ask your students to read George Crile's article, "The
Best Congressman" from Harper's Magazine, January 1975. This
article nicely tells the story of Congressman Dan Flood from
Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania. I won't give away too much J except
to say that Flood did everything right for the citizens of
Wilkes-Barre even if it meant acting in a way that was contrary
to the national interest. I always tell my students that Dan
Flood is the kind of person you'd love to have represent you
but is also the kind of person you'd hate to see in Congress
representing someone else. He explains how Congress can be
unpopular but have its members consistently returned to office.
(I know there may be difficulty in assigning extra reading
like this, but this is a short article, it's fun, and the lesson
it packs is well worth it!)
4. Members of Congress "run scared." Even in the absence of
any reason to fear for their electoral lives, the worry incessantly
about losing the next election. This keeps them risk averse and
keeps their behavior in line with what they perceive their constituents
want.
a. I always take my 100 person lecture class and have them
all pretend they are members of Congress. Ninety-five percent
of them will be reelected, so they all have little reason to
fear. Then, I randomly call out names of five who lost. I encourage
all of them to look around the room at those who lost. People
who lose are not just statistics - they may include the person
I eat lunch with, the woman with an office down the hall from
mine, the man who serves on my committee with me. When people
see how defeat can touch those close to them, they get a little
more paranoid about losing.
b. I remind students also that while defeat in any given year
is rare, more members leave office due to electoral defeat
than any other reason (such as retirement). It is true that
most members are likely to win any given election, a long congressional
career requires stringing along a large number of wins. This
is not always easy.
Further Resources for Teachers and
Students
Annotated Bibliography
Note: these references are intended for those who want to
make themselves experts on congressional elections. There is
absolutely no assumption that everyone using the simulation
will look at any of these materials.
1. Abramowitz, Alan I. and Jeffrey A. Segal. 1992. Senate
Elections. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
A fairly nice, readable treatment on Senate elections. Although
this simulation mostly covers House elections, a little knowledge
on the Senate can't hurt. The comparisons between House and
Senate elections in this book are useful.
2. Ansolabehere, Stephen and Shanto Iyengar. 1995. Going
Negative. New York: Free Press.
A good treatment on the effects of negative campaigning, including
some discussion of how it is practiced.
3. Crile, George. 1975. "The Best Congressman." Harper's
Magazine, January, pages 60-66.
A whole lot of fun. The story of one Pennsylvania congressman
and how he became so popular with his constituents. This piece
raises the uncomfortable issue of how what makes a member of
Congress popular with his or her constituents often entails
doing things that run counter to the national interest.
4. Davidson, Roger H. and Walter J. Oleszek. 2001. Congress
and Its Members, 7th ed. Washington: Congressional Quarterly
Press.
My favorite textbook about Congress. Built around the theme
of "Two Congresses," one local in nature, the other national.
5. Ehrenhalt, Alan. 1991. The United States of Ambition.
New York: Times Books.
Written somewhat for more of a popular audience than an academic
one, this is a very readable book on political ambition in
the United States that speaks to many of the themes expressed
in the Jacobson and Kernell reading.
6. Fenno, Richard F. 1978. Home Style: House Members in Their
Districts. Boston: Little Brown.
The absolute, 100% classic on how House members deal with
their constituencies.
7. Fiorina, Morris P. 1977. "The Case of the Vanishing Marginals:
The Bureaucracy Did It." American Political Science Review 71:177-181.
8. Fiorina, Morris P. 1989. Congress: Keystone of the Washington
Establishment, 2nd ed. New Haven: Yale University Press.
These two pieces lay out Fiorina's central perspective that
it is incumbent behavior that affected the growth of the incumbency
advantage.
9. Herrnson, Paul S. 1995. Congressional Elections: Campaigning
at Home and in Washington. Washington, D.C.: Congressional
Quarterly Press.
Pretty nice, readable account of how congressional campaigns
are run.
10. Jacobson, Gary C. 1997. The Politics of Congressional
Elections, 4th edition. New York: Longman.
Not easy, but the basic bible for those of us who study congressional
elections. This is the one must-read synthesis of knowledge
on the subject.
11. Jacobson, Gary C. and Samuel Kernell. 1983. Strategy
and Choice in Congressional Elections, 2nd ed. New Haven:
Yale University Press.
The statement of the strategic politicians model. The theory
is not easy, but the book is (in most places) a readable and
articulate statement of the theory and its implications.
12. Mayhew, David R. 1974. Congress: The Electoral Connection.
New Haven: Yale University Press.
The classical statement on how the incumbency effect is something
that comes from incumbent behavior. Mayhew's discussion of
advertising, credit-claiming and position-taking is quite important
in the intellectual history of scholarship on congressional
elections.
Useful Web Sites
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